CONVECTIVE FORECAST
VALID 06Z MON 14/03 - 06Z TUE 15/03 2005
ISSUED: 13/03 22:12Z
FORECASTER: GROENEMEIJER

General thunderstorms are forecast across Spain, Portugal, extreme southwestern France and northeastern Aegean Sea and parts of western Turkey.

SYNOPSIS

Monday at 06 UTC... a zonal mid/upper-level flow is located over much of Europe. FLow is weak over southern Europe. Some latent instability (CAPE) is expected to develop over Iberia as a result of diabatic heating. Additionally weak rising motions over the eastern Aegean and western Tureky may destabilize the air-mass to create some latent instability. No severe storms are forecast.

DISCUSSION

#